Cruz and Scott are in trouble. They are in real danger of losing. All of the D seats will be decided based on two factors - MAGA candidates and Dobbs. And if SCOTUS bans mifiprestone, every Republican is in deep trouble. Manchin will be replaced by a real Republican, so what? I don't want to be Pollyanna here, but I think that the conventional wisdom is as reliable going into this election as it was in predicting the Red Wave that wasn't in 2022. And if Trump has a conviction on his record by November, we could be looking at a 1980 level landslide.
Oh you poor deluded little MAGA. A Trump conviction finishes him, even with a portion of your fellow travelers in CHristo-fascism. I know that Fox and Newsmax echo the mad rantings of the demented god-king, but your Agent Orange is being prosecuted for real crimes he committed, not some dummied up bullshit flowing from your fever swamps and Q, wherever she may be.
Despite being structurally antidemocratic and having a stranglehold on judicial confirmation, when it comes to the actual people Senate Republicans are by far the most reasonable of the bunch (a historically low bar). They are continually capable of hammering out bipartisan legislation that is then strangled by the clownshow that is House Republicans, and the presidential candidate isn't even worth discussing in this regard.
I'm personally much more pessimistic than you are - I think there is a small but very real chance of the Republicans simply running away with a trifecta if anything goes wrong for Biden before the election.
exactly. progressives like to blame the electoral college, but as Waldmann points out the dems used to win the small states when they took the trouble. the fault is not the electoral college, but the R's being smarter than the dems and appealing to the small states. take away the electoral college and the R's, still being smarter than the Dems would learn how to win in the big cities, The electoral college was invented exactly to keep the country from being a "democracy" when the biggest state was Virginia. Yet the Dems are convinced it was all a racist plot. ["democracy" is not necessarily good. the framersunderstood it could mean mob rule.] Democrats are fooled by theirown rhetoric. Didn't that fellow, Obama, win two elections quite recently ? Didn't he offer to sell out Social Security...which only needs a payroll ta xincrease of about a dollar per week per worker per year ro be solvent forever?
Cruz and Scott are in trouble. They are in real danger of losing. All of the D seats will be decided based on two factors - MAGA candidates and Dobbs. And if SCOTUS bans mifiprestone, every Republican is in deep trouble. Manchin will be replaced by a real Republican, so what? I don't want to be Pollyanna here, but I think that the conventional wisdom is as reliable going into this election as it was in predicting the Red Wave that wasn't in 2022. And if Trump has a conviction on his record by November, we could be looking at a 1980 level landslide.
Oh you poor deluded little MAGA. A Trump conviction finishes him, even with a portion of your fellow travelers in CHristo-fascism. I know that Fox and Newsmax echo the mad rantings of the demented god-king, but your Agent Orange is being prosecuted for real crimes he committed, not some dummied up bullshit flowing from your fever swamps and Q, wherever she may be.
Despite being structurally antidemocratic and having a stranglehold on judicial confirmation, when it comes to the actual people Senate Republicans are by far the most reasonable of the bunch (a historically low bar). They are continually capable of hammering out bipartisan legislation that is then strangled by the clownshow that is House Republicans, and the presidential candidate isn't even worth discussing in this regard.
I'm personally much more pessimistic than you are - I think there is a small but very real chance of the Republicans simply running away with a trifecta if anything goes wrong for Biden before the election.
Thank you, Mr Waldman -- glad I found you here. (Wow, had to jump through a lot of hoops to comment, though -- Substack's UI could use some help...)
Mr. Waldman, I have ceased to wonder why your new Substack blog doesn't seem to be gaining momentum.
exactly. progressives like to blame the electoral college, but as Waldmann points out the dems used to win the small states when they took the trouble. the fault is not the electoral college, but the R's being smarter than the dems and appealing to the small states. take away the electoral college and the R's, still being smarter than the Dems would learn how to win in the big cities, The electoral college was invented exactly to keep the country from being a "democracy" when the biggest state was Virginia. Yet the Dems are convinced it was all a racist plot. ["democracy" is not necessarily good. the framersunderstood it could mean mob rule.] Democrats are fooled by theirown rhetoric. Didn't that fellow, Obama, win two elections quite recently ? Didn't he offer to sell out Social Security...which only needs a payroll ta xincrease of about a dollar per week per worker per year ro be solvent forever?